Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 7.395461e-05 0.000089 0.000105 0.000124 0.000144 0.000167 0.000192
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 5.232283e-05 0.000071 0.000093 0.000120 0.000151 0.000186 0.000228
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 4.437072e-05 0.000066 0.000091 0.000124 0.000163 0.000208 0.000262
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.538181e-05 0.000058 0.000086 0.000123 0.000169 0.000224 0.000292
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.806827e-05 0.000050 0.000079 0.000119 0.000170 0.000232 0.000310
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 2.271652e-05 0.000045 0.000075 0.000118 0.000175 0.000245 0.000334
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.877711e-05 0.000040 0.000072 0.000118 0.000179 0.000256 0.000356
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.598523e-05 0.000037 0.000070 0.000119 0.000187 0.000272 0.000384
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.302568e-05 0.000034 0.000067 0.000118 0.000189 0.000281 0.000403
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.000327e-05 0.000029 0.000062 0.000114 0.000189 0.000286 0.000417
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 8.815198e-06 0.000028 0.000062 0.000117 0.000197 0.000303 0.000446
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 6.468236e-06 0.000024 0.000057 0.000113 0.000195 0.000305 0.000456
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.146063e-06 0.000022 0.000055 0.000113 0.000201 0.000319 0.000483
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.561952e-06 0.000019 0.000051 0.000110 0.000201 0.000325 0.000500
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.967630e-06 0.000018 0.000051 0.000113 0.000210 0.000344 0.000533
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.166182e-06 0.000016 0.000049 0.000113 0.000214 0.000356 0.000557
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.355423e-06 0.000014 0.000046 0.000109 0.000213 0.000360 0.000571
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 9.005483e-07 0.000012 0.000044 0.000108 0.000216 0.000370 0.000593
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 5.696895e-07 0.000011 0.000042 0.000108 0.000219 0.000380 0.000615
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.954563e-07 0.000010 0.000041 0.000109 0.000226 0.000396 0.000644
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.075957e-07 0.000009 0.000039 0.000108 0.000227 0.000404 0.000664
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 7.232937e-08 0.000007 0.000036 0.000105 0.000226 0.000407 0.000676
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 4.208533e-08 0.000007 0.000037 0.000108 0.000234 0.000425 0.000709